My theory on Akita is that they generate lots of xG on goal mouth scrambles …I have no data to back this up but Sporteria count each shot individually which has frustrated me as Verdy were given 1.3xG for a goalmouth scramble with 4-5 shots vs Gamba this year (they only generated 0.4xG in the rest of the game)…but I digress…I wonder what you thought about Ushizawa if Mito, could he move to J1 in the future? Also has Yumiba at Oita plateaued a bit?
It depends on the xG model but a "good" one should be adjusting for rebounds and consecutive shot scrambles like that. I wish I had another xG model for the J.League that I could compare with. Perhaps I'll check out FotMob (even if they only have J1).
I didn't get a chance to focus on Mito or Ushizawa a lot unfortunately.
Oita were just all over the place in general but it was concerning to see Yumiba peter out a bit from his initial good start. Unless a really smart J1 club pick him up for cheap, we'll have to see how he evolves next season I suppose!
Thanks very much…I was considering switching from Sporteria to Fotmob for next season…Sporteria is very useful, but only to a point (a recent Kawasaki chance that they rated at 0.9xG was quite illuminating for me) and Fotmob seem to be using Opta stats (well they were for Jubilo vs Marinos) and those appear to be more reliable.
Great work!
thanks for reading!
Fantastic stuff as always Ryo!
My theory on Akita is that they generate lots of xG on goal mouth scrambles …I have no data to back this up but Sporteria count each shot individually which has frustrated me as Verdy were given 1.3xG for a goalmouth scramble with 4-5 shots vs Gamba this year (they only generated 0.4xG in the rest of the game)…but I digress…I wonder what you thought about Ushizawa if Mito, could he move to J1 in the future? Also has Yumiba at Oita plateaued a bit?
Thanks Jonny!
It depends on the xG model but a "good" one should be adjusting for rebounds and consecutive shot scrambles like that. I wish I had another xG model for the J.League that I could compare with. Perhaps I'll check out FotMob (even if they only have J1).
I didn't get a chance to focus on Mito or Ushizawa a lot unfortunately.
Oita were just all over the place in general but it was concerning to see Yumiba peter out a bit from his initial good start. Unless a really smart J1 club pick him up for cheap, we'll have to see how he evolves next season I suppose!
Thanks very much…I was considering switching from Sporteria to Fotmob for next season…Sporteria is very useful, but only to a point (a recent Kawasaki chance that they rated at 0.9xG was quite illuminating for me) and Fotmob seem to be using Opta stats (well they were for Jubilo vs Marinos) and those appear to be more reliable.